2012 Florida Primary

Here are the pole averages from just before the primary.

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				Romney	Gingrich	Santorum	Paul	Spread
				41.8	28.8	13.0	10.3	Romney +13.0

My guess, it looks like Romney will win, but I don’t think he will get near 41.8%.  Santorum and Gingrich will do better than expected.  Paul will get about what is expected.

2012 South Carolina Primary

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There is an important primary in South Carolina today, are you praying about it?

Polling averages expect Gingrich to get 32%, Romney 30%, Paul 13% and Santorum 11%. The highest recent poll shows Santorum with only 15%.

My wild speculation is that Santorum will be around 20%, Paul won’t quite have 13%, and Romney will edge out Gingrich.